Research coverage

Available now in the demo: team comparisons, offense and defense, recent form, home/away splits, injuries, venue weather, transparent baseline projections, sample-book comparison, margin-removed implied probabilities and simulated line movement. Those demonstration figures are synthetic. The separate win-chance and line-accuracy view uses real NFL source records; team pages also use source player statistics.

Live scores, play-by-play, player props, player efficiency, advanced league-specific metrics, standings, news feeds, alerts, backtesting and predictive calibration require additional implementation and authorized data. No competitor feature parity is claimed.

How the baseline works

Projected home points = (home points scored + away points allowed) ÷ 2 + 0.75. Projected away points = (away points scored + home points allowed) ÷ 2 − 0.75. Scores round to one decimal and cannot fall below zero.

Home spread = away score − home score. Total = sum of projected scores. Differences are comparisons, not recommendations or evidence of an advantage. No backtest, calibrated probability or historical accuracy exists.

Model nfl-scoring-baseline v1.1.1 · unvalidated. Context fields for injuries, weather, coaching, travel, rest and market history are reserved interfaces only; none influence this baseline.